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The MOSIPS project aims to design and develop a decision support framework for simulating and evaluating the impact of public policies implemented at administrative level.
Simulation Results
Dashboard
Discovery
Contribute & Find
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Highlight
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The upcoming and previous events and meetings can be found at the MOSIPS website.
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Youth Unemployment Madrid
Map Application
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Entrepreneurs
Training Courses
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SBA principle - Create an environment in which entrepreneurs and family businesses can thrive and entrepreneurship is rewarded.
Action: Training course to foster entrepreneurship and help entrepreneurs. The action can be focused on a specific group such as: - Citizens above 45 years old
- Young citizens
- Long-term unemployed
- Citizens with a university degree
- Citizens located in a specific area
Explanation: To help entrepreneurs get off to the best start possible, it is desirable to have courses and resources that provide information about business planning and organization, financing, management and marketing.
Entrepreneurship training workshops encourage creativity, collaboration and interaction of participants through individual and group work.
Positive effects indicators: - Increase in the number of entrepreneurs and business people who participated in the course
- Increase in the number of new firms
- Increase in business tax
Progressive Geo-View
Mapping Application
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Entrepreneurship
Policy Designs
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The EU and Member States should create an environment within which entrepreneurs and family businesses can thrive and entrepreneurship is rewarded.
They need to care for future entrepreneurs better, in particular by fostering entrepreneurial interest and talent, particularly among young people and women, and by simplifying the conditions for business transfers.
- Training course to promote entrepreneurship
- Establishments provided by the public sector
- Public grants for new entrepreneurs
The user chooses the values for the following variables:
| Policy Design 1 "Training course" | Policy Design 2 "Free establishment" |
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| 1.REG | Can be ES300, ES424 and/or ES425 | 2.REG | One (not several) | | 1.MUN | Municipalities depends on 1.REG | 2.MUN | One or several | | 1.DIST | Madrid districts can be values from 1-21 | 2.DIST | Madrid districts can be values from 1-21 | | 1.START | Beginning of the policy application | 2.START | Beginning of the policy application | | 1.END | End of policy application | 2.END | End of policy application | | 1.COST | Positive integer | 2.COST | Positive integer | | 1.RECIPIENTS | Positive integer | 2.STAY | Integer between 4-12 | | 1.MIN_AGE | Integer between 16-64 | 2.MIN_AGE | Integer between 16-64 | | 1.MAX_AGE | Integer between 17-65 | 2.MAX_AGE | Integer between 17-65 | | 1.GENDER | 1, 0 or both | 2.SECTOR | One or several values between 1-22 | | 1.LABOR | One or several values between 2-5 | | | | 1.LT_UNEMP | Long term unemployed(only if 1.LABOR=2) | | | | 1.EDUC_LEVEL | One or several integer values between 2-5 | | |
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Administration
Policy Designs
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Progressive Geo-View
Mapping Application
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The EU and Member States should make public administrations responsive to SME needs, making life as simple as possible for SMEs, notably by promoting egovernment and one-stop-shop solutions.
Modern and responsive public administrations can make a major contribution to the success and growth of SMEs by saving them time and money and hence freeing resources for innovation and job creation.
- Reduce youth unemployment
- Reduce female unemployment
- Reduce long-term unemployment
The user chooses the values for the following variables:
| Policy Design 3 "Reduce youth unemployment" | Policy Design 4 "Reduce long-term unemployment" |
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| 3.REG | Can be ES300, ES424 or ES425 | 4.REG | One (not several) | | 3.MUN | Municipalities depends on 1.REG | 4.MUN | One or several | | 3.DIST | Madrid districts can be values from 1-21 | 4.DIST | Madrid districts can be values from 1-21 | | 3.START | Beginning of the policy application | 4.START | Beginning of the policy application | | 3.END | End of policy application | 4.END | End of policy application | | 3.PERCENTAGE | Integer between 1-100 | 4.PERCENTAGE | Integer between 1-100 | | 3.DURATION | Duration of tax reduction (integer from 1-8) | 4.DURATION | Duration of tax reduction (integer from 1-8) | | 3.SECTOR | One or several values from 1-22 | 4.SECTOR | One or several values from 1-22 | | 3.MAX_SIZE | Integer value between 10-250 | 4.MAX_SIZE | Integer value between 10-250 | | 3.MIN_AGE | Integer between 16-25 | | | | 3.MAX_AGE | Integer between 20-35 | | |
Progressive Geo-View
Mapping Application
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The EU and Member States should promote the upgrading of skills in SMEs and all forms of innovation.
They should encourage investment in research by SMEs and their participation in R&D support programmes, transnational research, clustering and active intellectual property management by SMEs.
- Foster internal R&D in firms that currently do not innovate
- Foster internal R&D in firms that currently innovate
- Foster external R&D in firms that currently do not innovate
- Foster external R&D in firms that currently innovate
The user chooses the values for the following variables:
| Policy Design 5 "Foster internal R&D in firms that currently innovate" | |
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| 5.REG | Can be ES300, ES424 and/or ES425 | | | | 5.MUN | Municipalities depends on 1.REG | | | | 5.DIST | Madrid districts can be values from 1-21 | | | | 5.START | Beginning of the policy application (integer between 1-36) | | | | 5.END | End of policy application (integer between 2-60) | | | | 5.COST | Positive integer | | | | 5.DURATION | Duration of subsidy to the firm (integer from 1-8) | | | | 5.SECTOR | One or several values from 1-22 | | | | 5.MAX_SIZE | Integer value between 10-250 | | |
Environment
Policy Designs
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Progressive Geo-View
Mapping Application
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The EU and Member States should enable SMEs to turn environmental challenges into opportunities.
They should provide more information, expertise and financial incentives for full exploitation of the opportunities for new green markets and increased energy efficiency, partly through the implementation of environmental management systems in SMEs.
- Carbon tax increase
- Oil products tax increase
The variables associated with this use case are completed by the user. They can have one or several values. The user chooses the values for the following variables:
| Policy Design 6 "Carbon tax increase" | Policy Design 7 "Oil tax increase" |
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| 6.REG | Can be ES300, ES424 and/or ES425 | 7.REG | One or several | | 6.START | Beginning of the policy application | 7.START | Beginning of the policy application | | 6.END | End of policy application | 7.END | End of policy application | | 6.INCREASE | Positive integer (/t) | 7.INCREASE | Percentage (integer between 1-20) | | 6.SECTOR | One or several values from 1-22 | 7.SECTOR | All, all except 1/ 17/ 1 and 17 | | 6.MUN | Municipalities depends on 1.REG | | | | 6.DIST | Madrid districts can be values from 1-21 | | | | 6.MIN_SIZE | Integer value between 0-250 | | | | 6.REINVESTMENT | Boolean (1: yes, 0: no) | | |
The MOSIPS SME 'Policy Radar'
Open PDF
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The MOSIPS project takes the Small Business Act (SBA) as the core area for policy investigation, analysis and modeling. The SBA forms the 'enabling framework' of the EU for improved SME performance and policy quality.
It is the EU flagship SME policy initiative comprising ten principles that should guide the design and implementation of policies in the EU and its Member States. These principles are central to the conceptual, theoretical and empirical scopeof MOSIPS (see next page for the description of the -> ten principles).
The SBA "aims to improve the overall policy approach to entrepreneurship, to irreversibly anchor the 'Think Small First' principle in policymaking from regulation to public service, and to promote SMEs growth by helping them tackle the remaining problems which hamper their development". It builds on the Commissions and Member States policy achievements, creates a new policy framework that integrates the existing enterprise policy instruments, and builds in particular on the European Charter for Small Enterprises and the Modern SME policy. To implement this ambitious policy agenda, the Commission is proposing a genuine political partnership between the EU and Member States that respects the principles of 'subsidiarity' and 'proportionality'.
A more productive way to approach SME policy in the SBA is to think through the concept of 'enabling framework'. Such a framework is focused on removing bottlenecks to SME practices in ways that enhance economic and social dynamism and the innovation capacities of social, economic, and policy-making participants.
The MOSIPS SME 'Policy Radar'
Open PDF
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The comprehensive policy framework for the EU and its Member States is based on a set of 10 principles to guide the conception and implementation of policies both at EU and Member State level.
The principles create a level playing field for SMEs across the EU and improve the, policy, legal, regulatory and administrative environment in which they operate. These principles are as follows:
- Create an environment in which entrepreneurs and family businesses can thrive and entrepreneurship is rewarded
- Ensure that honest entrepreneurs who have faced bankruptcy quickly get a second chance
- Design rules according to the 'Think Small First' principle
- Make public administrations responsive to SMEs needs
- Adapt public policy tools to SME needs: facilitate SMEs participation in public procurement and better use State Aid possibilities for SMEs
- Facilitate SMEs access to finance and develop a legal and business environment supportive to timely payments in commercial transactions
- Help SMEs to benefit more from the opportunities offered by the Single Market
- Promote the upgrading of skills in SMEs and all forms of innovation
- Enable SMEs to turn environmental challenges into opportunities
- Encourage and support SMEs to benefit from the growth of markets
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Progressive Geo-View
Map Application
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To handle the challenges presented in the 4 SBA's chosen within the scope of the MOSIPS project, 7 Policy designs were constructed: entrepreneurship, establishment, administration and environment.
These 7 policy designs are:
SBA Entrepreneurship:- Policy Design 1: "Training course"
- Policy Design 2: "Free Establishment"
SBA Responsible administration:- Policy Design 3: "Reduce youth unemployment"
- Policy Design 4: "Reduce long-term unemployment"
SBA Innovation:- Policy Design 5: "Foster internal R&D in firms that currently innovate"
SBA Environment:- Policy Design 6: "Carbon tax increase"
- Policy Design 7: "Oil tax increase"
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MOSIPS Newsletter
Open PDF
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Modeling in the MOSIPS project is based upon three major sources of information: Socio-demographic, microeconomic and macroeconomic environment.
These three major sources are:
Socio-demographic environment: even if the MOSIPS system will not directly simulate the effect of policy design on these agents, their behavior needs to be taken into account due to the fact that they are firms' owners, workers and final purchasers of goods and services produced by enterprises. The data collected an structured are used in order to acquire people and families' number, location, work status and relatives, education level and income & expenses.
Microeconomic environment: these are the key actors of the MOSIPS system due to the fact that the majority of the policy designs have direct effects on their status. The MOSIPS system needs to rely on information such as activity level, establishment and firms' location, R&D investments, workers and competitors.
Macroeconomic environment: these location specific indicators are used in order to take their effect on the decisions of individuals and enterprises into account. The most important variables comprise the GDP, taxes, imports and exports, energy, labour market, production, capital formation and public budget.
Agent-based Modeling
General Flyer
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Agent-based models are used to study economic systems in recent research works. These models are intended to model complex socio-economic systems in a bottom-up approach.
The MOSIPS model approach represents the dynamics of behaviour and decisions of agents, and their interactions. It forecasts the evolution of an economic system over a time horizon of one quarter to several years. It is based on a multi-agent approach at the micro-economic level. It can be used to model macro-economic features of a system and allow focusing in a specific part of the economy, at sector and spatial level, evaluating the effects of a policy over the firms and the individuals, depending on their initial characteristics.
Agents are capable of altering the environment either by their behavior and/or by their presence at a specific location. Through the flexibility of agent-based simulations complex models can be developed. They are even accurate on long term forecasts. The model includes a number of features of other multi-agent models as the ones of Lagom family developed within the World Climate Forum and can be interpreted as a development aimed at analysing the impact of policies at the local level.
The MOSIPS model is an agent-based model (ABM) which consists of a set of agents (firms/establishment and individual/households) with its own attributes which interact each other according to a set of appropriate rules that have been widely defined.
Progressive Geo-View
Map Application
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In the mapping applications that are used to present the results of the project, a set of selected parameters which are calculated by the simulation and forecast engine can be visualized in a spatial temporal manner.
By a Timeslider the user is able to navigate through time, which instantly has an effect on the visualized thematic data i.e. a new timeslice is visualized each time the timeslider is changed. The time can be rolled forward automatically by clicking on the play icon or manually by the user. The integrated slider controlling opacity defines the opacity of the thematic layer i.e. colored layer representing the parameter to be visualized.
To have more control over the visual appearance of the parameter to be visualized, a widget is intended that supports the alteration of thematic maps on the fly. Hence, by changing - the parameter i.e. theme/layer to be visualized
- the number of classification classes
- the classification type
- the colour scheme to be used
The thematic map can be altered according to the users desires. Hence, the visual representation of one single dataset can be different.
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Progressive Geo-View
Mapping Application
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The here described steps are performed on a web user interface created by the University of Konstanz, meaning the user can indirectly control the simulation parameters within different usage scenarios.
These scenarios are systematically defined for the end users who need to solve their tasks using our system and are not necessarily simulation experts. Therefore, the level of interaction with the Simulation and Forecasting module changes depending on the different scenario the user might take, which means that the availability of input parameters will change according to each scenario.
To run a simulation, the user needs to first select a model and the data input source. As a next step the user has to choose the country on which the simulation runs, the problem domain as predefined by SBAs, predefined policy designs and a specific scenario in that policy design. The duration for which the simulation has to be run should be pre-specified and the simulation can be started.
The final runs can be visualized on a web mapping application. Therefore the different scenarios and statistic fileds can be choosen, symbolized (e.g. color, classification method and number of classes selection) and visulaized on the map. Some additional information are available about the choosen scenario and its settings. The map link can be shared and others can open the link and select different settings and scenarios.
About MOSIPS
Presentation
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Youth Unemployment Verona
Map Application
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The MOSIPS project aims to design and develop a decision support framework for evaluating and simulating the quality of public policies implemented at administrative level.
These objectives will be achieved by developing a user-friendly policy simulation system allowing forecasting and visualizing the socio-economic potential impact of public policies. Thus, policy makers can evaluate with different socio-economic designs, get feedback of citizens and potentially impacted stakeholders, before settling a public policy.
The combination of suitable data, models, artificial intelligence and interactive tools will deliver a policy wind tunnel.
MOSIPS focuses on SME-oriented policies, due to their main role in the European economy, which will help to manage the scope of Research and Development (R&D) activities.
| Kontakt | Paolo J. D'Arminio
Anova IT Consulting
Avda. Punto Mobi, 4 - Technoalcalá
ESP-28805 Alcalá de Henares, Madrid
+43 918 305 977
paolo.darminio@anovagroup.es |
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